Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.