Major League Soccer
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
Soldier Field

Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
Houston 2 - 1 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 5 - 0 Montreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 28% and a draw has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.52%).

Result

Chicago Fire 48.04% (+0.05)
Draw 23.96% (-0.06)
CF Montreal 28%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.19% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 20.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 58.39% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.61% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 36.3% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 63.7% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.93% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 78.07% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Chicago Fire 40.12%
Draw 36.95%
CF Montreal 22.92%

Team To Score First

Chicago Fire 56.48% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.41% (-0.02)
CF Montreal 38.11% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.39% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.27% (+0.02)
Over 9 48.59% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.61% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.35% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 62.65% (-0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 1.5 50.03% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.97% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 24.76% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.24% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 10.4% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 89.6% (-0.04)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 64.65%
Under 0.5 35.35%
Over 1.5 33.26% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.74% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.23% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.77% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.3% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.7% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Chicago Fire 48.04%
Draw 23.96%
CF Montreal 28%
Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 8.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.09% (+0.03)
Total : 48.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.96%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.99% (+0.02)
Total : 28%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Philip Zinckernagel 40' goal
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Andrew Gutman 47' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • Philip Zinckernagel 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • yellowcard Victor Loturi 23'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
  • goal Dante Sealy 50'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • Josef Martinez 21' goal
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • George Campbell 40' yellowcard
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
  • Caden Clark 74' goal
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2024 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Tobias Salquist 11' yellowcard
  • Chase Gasper 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 45'+8' goal
  • Fabian Herbers 78' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 84' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+5' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 90'+9' goal
  • goal Matias Coccaro 7'
  • goal Matias Coccaro 12'
  • yellowcard Matias Coccaro 16'
  • goal Dominik Yankov 70'
  • redcard Raheem Edwards 82'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 90'+11'
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Choiniere 13' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Corbo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pineda 20'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Doumbia 76'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'
  • yellowcard Fabian Herbers 80'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 2.44am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Brian Gutierrez 9' goal
  • Brian Gutierrez 9' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 11' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 11' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 33' goal
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 33' goal