Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.