Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 6.00pm
Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
St Louis City 1 - 0 Austin

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 6.00pm
LA Galaxy 2 - 3 Chicago Fire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 36.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 1-2 (8.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.7%).

Result

Austin FC 38.59% (+0.14)
Draw 25.01% (-0.04)
Chicago Fire 36.4% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.79% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.21% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 56.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 43.15% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 35.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.98% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.29% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.71% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 30.26% (-0.02)
Draw 41.88% (-0.08)
Chicago Fire 27.86% (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 52.61% (+0.14)
No Goal 6.05% (-0.01)
Chicago Fire 41.34% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 57.43% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.7% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.87% (+0.05)
Over 9 45.54% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.89% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.57% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.48% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.52% (+0.01)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 41.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.63% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.09% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.91% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.26% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.74% (-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 28.9% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 40.5% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.5% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.3% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.7% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.21% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.79% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Austin FC 38.58%
Draw 25.01%
Chicago Fire 36.39%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 8.52% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.47% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.1% (-0.02)
Total : 38.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 25.01%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.2% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.05% (-0.07)
Total : 36.39%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
May 25, 2023 2.00am
Bold Stadium