Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Robert Taylor 27' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 65' goal
  • goal Joel Waterman 12'
  • goal Jack Elliott 82'

Austin FC vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
St Louis City 1 - 0 Austin

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 6.00pm
LA Galaxy 2 - 3 Chicago Fire

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

Austin FC 38.73% (+0.14)
Draw 25.05% (+0.04)
Chicago Fire 36.17% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.82% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 22.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 56.75% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 43.25% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.94% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 65.06% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 20.23% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 79.77% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 30.27% (+0.01)
Draw 41.9% (+0.02)
Chicago Fire 27.83% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 52.41% (-0.21)
No Goal 6.07% (+0.03)
Chicago Fire 41.52% (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 57.25% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 31.05% (+0.18)
Over 9 45.38% (-0.16)
Equal 9 11.87% (-0.03)
Under 9 42.75% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 34.34% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 65.66% (+0.15)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 41.57% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 58.43% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 18.17% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.83% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.72% (-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 70.98% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 29.02% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 40.25% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 59.75% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 17.14% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 82.86% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 6.14% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 93.86% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Austin FC 38.74%
Draw 25.06%
Chicago Fire 36.16%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 8.46% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.44% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.1% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.13% (+0.04)
Total : 38.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.75% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 6.07% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 25.06%
Chicago Fire
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.99% (-0.06)
Total : 36.16%

Head to Head

US Open Cup
May 25, 2023 2.00am
Bold Stadium