Club Friendlies 3
Feb 1, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Nicolas Fernandez 31' goal
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 31' goal
  • Agustin Ojeda 45' goal
  • Agustín Ojeda 45' goal

Austin FC vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 12.00am
Austin 1 - 0 Louisville City

New York City FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 9.00pm
NY City 0 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.61% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%) , while for a Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Austin FC 55.71% (-0.04)
Draw 23.61% (+0.02)
New York City FC 20.63% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.37% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 21.63% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.43% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 43.57% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 33.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 66.44% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.23% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.77% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 40.96% (-0.04)
Draw 41.88% (-0.01)
New York City FC 17.17% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 61.28% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.15% (+0.02)
New York City FC 32.57% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.88%
Equal 8 10.64%
Under 8 25.48%
Over 9 52.51% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 36.12%
Over 10.5 41.34%
Under 10.5 58.66%

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 54.48% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 45.52% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 28.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 71.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.27% (+0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.9% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 42.1% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 25.54%
Under 1.5 74.46%
Over 2.5 8.2%
Under 2.5 91.8%
Over 3.5 2.23%
Under 3.5 97.77%

Score analysis

Austin FC 55.7%
Draw 23.6%
New York City FC 20.62%
Austin FC
2-1 @ 10.33% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.55% (-0.02)
Total : 55.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.6%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.62%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 2.55am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Jon Gallagher 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Gyasi Zardes 45'+7' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 45'+7' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 69' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 69' goal
  • goal Andres Perea 5'
  • goal Andres Perea 5'