Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 8.30pm
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Julian Hall

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
Chicago Fire 3 - 0 Montreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw has a probability of 23.02% and a win for CF Montreal has a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.62%) , while for a CF Montreal win it is 0-1 (5.63%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 57.04% (+0.01)
Draw 23.02% (+0.04)
CF Montreal 19.95% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 22.29% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 54.67% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.33% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 32.44% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 67.56% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 19.77% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 80.23% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 42.88%
Draw 37.99% (+0.02)
CF Montreal 19.13% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 61.61% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.09% (+0.05)
CF Montreal 32.3% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.8% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.8% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.4% (-0.03)
Over 9 43.95% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 44.2% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 33.05% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 66.95% (-0.04)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 54.37% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 45.63% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 28.17% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 71.83% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.31% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.69% (+0.07)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 55.72% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 44.28% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 23.64% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 76.36% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 7.39% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 92.61% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.06% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 57.04%
Draw 23.02%
CF Montreal 19.94%
New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.57% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.55% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
Other @ 12.16% (-0.07)
Total : 57.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 6.09% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.02%
CF Montreal
0-1 @ 5.63% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.87% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.79% (-0.03)
Total : 19.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Noah Eile 28' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 67' goal
  • Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 85' yellowcard
  • Serge Ngoma 87' yellowcard
  • Felipe Carballo 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 55'
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Wikelman Carmona 18' goal
  • Wikelman Carmona 18' goal
  • Mathieu Choiniere 75' goal
  • Mathieu Choiniere 75' goal
  • Sean Nealis 77' yellowcard
  • Sean Nealis 79' redcard
  • Sean Nealis 79' redcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 43'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 67'
  • goal Josef Martinez 67'
  • goal Josef Martinez 81'
  • goal Josef Martinez 81'
Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 4 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Ibrahim Sunusi 11' goal
  • Ibrahim Sunusi 11' goal
  • Nathan Saliba 22' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 22' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Opoku 40' goal
  • Kwadwo Opoku 40' goal
  • Joaquin Sosa 87' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Sosa 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 52'
  • yellowcard Cameron Harper 52'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 60'
  • yellowcard Daniel Edelman 60'
  • goal Wikelman Carmona 61'
  • goal Wikelman Carmona 61'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 76'
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 76'
  • goal Julian Hall 88'
  • goal Julian Hall 88'
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Andres Reyes 23' goal
  • Andres Reyes 23' goal
  • Cory Burke 38' goal
  • Cory Burke 38' goal
  • goal Joel Waterman 29'
  • goal Joel Waterman 29'
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Andres Reyes 25' goal
  • Mathieu Choiniere 90'+2' goal