Major League Soccer
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Colin Guske 14' yellowcard
  • Iván Angulo 46' yellowcard
  • Marco Pašalić 46' yellowcard
  • Tiago 76' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 86' yellowcard
  • Zakaria Taifi 87' yellowcard
  • Tiago 90'+6' goal
  • goal Julian Hall 8'
  • goal Julian Hall 40'
  • yellowcard Juan Mina 65'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 65'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 75'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 75'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 76'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 76'
  • yellowcard Tanner Rosborough 87'

Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 23, 2025 1.30am
Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Tiago

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2025 11.00pm
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Orlando City 47.4% (-0.04)
Draw 24.57%
New York Red Bulls 28%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.09% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.66%
Under 2.5 44.34%
Over 3.5 34.81%
Under 3.5 65.19%
Over 4.5 21.62%
Under 4.5 78.38%

First Half Winner

Orlando City 37.09%
Draw 39.1%
New York Red Bulls 23.8%

Team To Score First

Orlando City 52.73%
No Goal 6.82%
New York Red Bulls 40.45%

Corners

Over 8 57.49% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.61%
Under 8 30.9% (+0.02)
Over 9 45.68% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.8% (-0.01)
Under 9 42.51% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.68% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.32% (+0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 47.54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 52.46% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.18%
Under 2.5 76.82%
Over 3.5 9.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.89% (-0.02)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 63.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 32.89% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.11% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.99% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Orlando City 47.41%
Draw 24.58%
New York Red Bulls 27.99%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.71%
Total : 47.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 24.58%
New York Red Bulls
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-1 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 27.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Spectrum Stadium
  • Marco Pasalic 19' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 56' redcard
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 47'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 64'
  • yellowcard Omar Javier Valencia Arauz 89'
Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 6.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 29' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Peter Stroud 68' yellowcard
  • Sean Nealis 73' yellowcard
  • Serge Ngoma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Martin Ojeda 18'
  • goal Marco Pasalic 39'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 82'
MLS Playoffs
Dec 1, 2024 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando City Stadium
  • Sean Nealis 67' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 24'
  • goal Andres Reyes 47'
  • goal Andres Reyes 47'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 67'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • John Tolkin 38' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'
  • yellowcard Ivan Angulo 86'
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Ivan Angulo 75' yellowcard
  • Noah Eile 89' goal
  • goal Lewis Morgan 21'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 44'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 73'
Major League Soccer
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • goal Ivan Angulo 18'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 18'
  • goal Facundo Torres 52'
  • goal Facundo Torres 72'