Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Austin
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw has a probability of 21.94% and a win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.59%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it is 0-1 (5.25%).

Result

Inter Miami 58.64%
Draw 21.94%
New York Red Bulls 19.42% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.78% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.85% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.15% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 57.81% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.19% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.1% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.7% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.3% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 49.58%
Draw 32.7%
New York Red Bulls 17.72%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 64.18%
No Goal 5.86%
New York Red Bulls 29.96%

Corners

Over 8 54.84% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 33.82% (+0.01)
Over 9 43.59%
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.16% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.29%
Under 10.5 66.71%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 56.97% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 43.03% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 31.58%
Under 2.5 68.42%
Over 3.5 14.52%
Under 3.5 85.48%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 55.09% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 44.91% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.68% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.35% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.65% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 58.64%
Draw 21.94%
New York Red Bulls 19.42%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.99%
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 14.32%
Total : 58.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.94%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 5.25%
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.46%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Total : 19.42%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 12.30am
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
6
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Lewis Morgan 3' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 51' goal
  • Wikelman Carmona 66' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 70' goal
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 11'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 84'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • goal Tom Barlow 52'