Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.94% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.