Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Chase Stadium
  • Mateo Silvetti 45'+1' goal
  • Dániel Pintér 46' yellowcard
  • Germán Berterame 55' goal
  • Gonzalo Luján 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Ruvalcaba 15'
  • yellowcard Rafael Mosquera 66'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Sofo  66'
  • goal Adri Mehmeti 77'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 87'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 87'

Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 2 Austin
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.94% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%) , while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 58.61% (+0.04)
Draw 21.94%
New York Red Bulls 19.42% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.18% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.81%
Under 2.5 42.19%
Over 3.5 36.86%
Under 3.5 63.14%
Over 4.5 23.69% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.31% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 49.58%
Draw 32.7%
New York Red Bulls 17.72%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 64.18%
No Goal 5.86%
New York Red Bulls 29.96%

Corners

Over 8 54.78%
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 33.88%
Over 9 43.54%
Equal 9 11.24%
Under 9 45.22%
Over 10.5 33.25%
Under 10.5 66.75%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 56.95% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 43.05% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 31.56% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 68.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 14.52%
Under 3.5 85.48%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 55.07% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 44.93% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.32% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.68% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.35% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.65% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 2.53% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 58.6%
Draw 21.94%
New York Red Bulls 19.41%
Inter Miami
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 14.32%
Total : 58.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.58%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.94%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Total : 19.41%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 12.30am
1
5
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 9' goal
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bright 14' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Marcelo Weigandt 30' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Luis Suarez 39' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • Lionel Messi 67' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 43'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Peter Stroud 52'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'
  • yellowcard Sean Nealis 75'
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 12.30am
6
2
HT : 0 2
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Matias Rojas 48' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Tomas Aviles 57' yellowcard
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Matias Rojas 62' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 68' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • Luis Suarez 81' goal
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • yellowcard John Tolkin 25'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 30'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 38'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • yellowcard Wikelman Carmona 39'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Lewis Morgan 3' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 51' goal
  • Wikelman Carmona 66' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 70' goal
  • yellowcard Serhiy Krivtsov 11'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Allen 84'
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 11' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Coronel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • yellowcard Tomas Aviles 20'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Diego Gomez 37'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
  • goal Lionel Messi 89'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • goal Tom Barlow 52'