Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm

Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

W
W
W
D
L
L

Major League Soccer

W
W
W
D
L
W

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm

NY City 3 - 1 Colorado

Goals scored

11

Top scorer

Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Inter Miami

All competitions

D
D
W
W
W
L

Major League Soccer

D
W
W
L
W
W

Last game

Mar 14, 2026 11.30pm

Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Inter Miami

Goals scored

6

Top scorer

Lionel Messi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Inter Miami has a probability of 32.3% and a draw has a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.22%).

Result

New York City FC 44.03% ▲ (+0.08)

Draw 23.64%

Inter Miami 32.3% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score:

61.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.11%

Under 1.5 17.89%

Over 2.5 61.82%

Under 2.5 38.18%

Over 3.5 40.24%

Under 3.5 59.76%

Over 4.5 25.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 74.79% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 35.34%

Draw 39.26%

Inter Miami 25.4%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 55.78%

No Goal 4.65%

Inter Miami 39.57%

Corners

Over 8 52.27%

Equal 8 11.8%

Under 8 35.93%

Over 9 40.75%

Equal 9 11.52%

Under 9 47.73%

Over 10.5 30.4%

Under 10.5 69.6%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 48.74% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 51.26% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 2.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 2.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 3.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 0.5 31.06% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 1.5 38.94% ▼ (-0.07)

Under 1.5 61.06% ▲ (+0.07)

Over 2.5 17.32% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 82.68% ▲ (+0.06)

Over 3.5 6.58% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 93.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

New York City FC 44.03%

Draw 23.64%

Inter Miami 32.3%

New York City FC

2-1 @ 8.84%

1-0 @ 7.28%

2-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 3.8%

3-0 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 44.03%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.22%

2-2 @ 6.44%

0-0 @ 4.65%

3-3 @ 1.92%

Other @ 0.41%

Total : 23.64%

Inter Miami

1-2 @ 7.27%

0-1 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 3.22%

0-3 @ 2.02%

Other @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.05)

Total : 32.3%

Head to Head

Nov 29, 2025 11.00pm

5

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Tadeo Allende 14'
Marcelo Weigandt 22'
Tadeo Allende 23'
Noah Allen 33'
Mateo Silvetti 67'
Baltasar Rodriguez 70'
Telasco Segovia 83'
Yannick Bright 87'
Tadeo Allende 89'

Maximiliano Moralez 20'
Nicolas Fernandez 31'
Justin Haak 37'
Kevin O'Toole 65'
Justin Haak 73'

Sep 25, 2025 12.30am

0

4

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 23, 2025 12.30am

2

2

HT : 2 2

FT Inter Miami CF Stadium

Tomas Aviles 5'
Tomas Aviles 5'
Tomas Aviles 23'
Tomas Aviles 23'
Jordi Alba 24'
Jordi Alba 24'
Benjamin Cremaschi 41'
Benjamin Cremaschi 41'
Telasco Segovia 90'+10'
Telasco Segovia 90'+10'
Lionel Messi 90'+15'
Lionel Messi 90'+15'

Mitja Ilencic 26'
Mitja Ilencic 26'
Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
Strahinja Tanasijevic 45'+1'
Alonso Martinez 55'
Alonso Martinez 55'
Matt Freese 90'+4'
Matt Freese 90'+4'

Sep 21, 2024 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Yankee Stadium

Santiago Rodriguez 71'
Keaton Parks 80'
Strahinja Tanasijevic 86'
Keaton Parks 86'
James Sands 90'+5'

Ian Fray 64'
Noah Allen 65'
Jordi Alba 67'
Tomas Aviles 68'
Luis Suarez 68'
Leonardo Campana 75'

Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT Inter Miami CF Stadium

Luis Suarez 14'
Julian Gressel 53'
Ryan Sailor 62'
Tomas Aviles 80'
Luis Suarez 90'

Strahinja Tanasijevic 33'
Alonso Martinez 34'
Malachi Jones 88'

Oct 1, 2023 1.32am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Inter Miami CF Stadium

Benjamin Cremaschi 33'
Benjamin Cremaschi 33'
Tomas Aviles 40'
Tomas Aviles 40'
Facundo Farias 62'
Facundo Farias 62'
Serhiy Krivtsov 69'
Serhiy Krivtsov 69'
Dixon Arroyo 70'
Dixon Arroyo 70'
Tomas Aviles 90'+5'
Tomas Aviles 90'+5'
Noah Allen 90'+7'
Noah Allen 90'+8'

Richard Ledezma 52'
Richard Ledezma 52'
Santiago Rodriguez 77'
Santiago Rodriguez 77'
Andres Jasson 81'
Andres Jasson 81'

Form Data

NY City 3 - 1 Colorado

NY City 5 - 0 Orlando City

Philadelphia 1 - 2 NY City

LA Galaxy 1 - 1 NY City

NY City 0 - 2 Earthquakes

Kansas 2 - 1 NY City

Charlotte FC 0 - 0 Inter Miami

Nashville 0 - 0 Inter Miami

DC United 1 - 2 Inter Miami

Orlando City 2 - 4 Inter Miami

Independiente 1 - 2 Inter Miami

Los Angeles 3 - 0 Inter Miami