Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.