Club Friendlies 3
Feb 11, 2026 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Calvin Harris 23' goal
  • Dejan Joveljic 26' goal
  • Dejan Joveljić 26' goal
  • yellowcard Seymour Garfield-Reid 50'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 50'

Sporting Kansas City vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd 3 - 0 Kansas

New York City FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
Los Angeles 1 - 1 NY City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Kansas City 41.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 24.26% ▲ (+0.08)
New York City FC 33.98% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 22.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 45.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 33.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.18% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Sporting Kansas City 31.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 40.59% ▲ (+0.05)
New York City FC 27.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sporting Kansas City 50.96% ▼ (-0.16)
No Goal 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
New York City FC 42.95% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 56.19% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 44.61% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.58%
Under 9 43.81% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 33.91% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 66.09% ▼ (-0.12)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 1.5 42.7% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 57.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 19.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 80.95% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.31% ▲ (+0.04)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 36.4% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 63.6% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 14.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.26%
Under 3.5 94.74%

Score analysis

Sporting Kansas City 41.75%
Draw 24.26%
New York City FC 33.99%
Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 41.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.26%
New York City FC
0-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 20, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 8, 2022 12.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolas Acevedo 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Logan Ndenbe 45'
  • yellowcard Kortne Ford 89'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm
Major League Soccer
Jul 27, 2019 12.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Anton Tinnerholm 41' goal
  • Maxime Chanot 45' yellowcard
  • Heber 54' goal
  • Alexander Ring 77' goal
  • yellowcard Roger Espinoza 45'
  • redcard Roger Espinoza 62'
  • goal Ilie Sanchez 73'
  • yellowcard Gerso 80'
  • yellowcard Botond Barath 94'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 2
Mar 5, 2018 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 23'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 32'
  • yellowcard Alexander Ring 34'
  • goal Jesus Medina 53'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 59'
  • redcard Maxime Chanot 88'
Major League Soccer
Sep 7, 2017 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Maximiliano Moralez 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Harrison 84' goal
  • RJ Allen 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roger Espinoza 24'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 90'