Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 33.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 0-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.99%).