Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Sporting San Miguelito had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Sporting San Miguelito win was 2-1 (6.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.