Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw has a probability of 25.05% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it is 0-1 (6.05%).