Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 9.30pm
Kansas 2 - 1 NY City

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 11.00pm
Earthquakes 3 - 2 Portland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.02% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 50.84% (+0.06)
Draw 25.02% (-0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes 24.14% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.65% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.6%
Under 2.5 44.4%
Over 3.5 34.15% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 65.85% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 20.23% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 79.77% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 39.14% (-0.04)
Draw 40.9% (+0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes 19.96% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 58.63% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.46%
San Jose Earthquakes 34.91% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.48% (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 24.02% (-0.02)
Over 9 54.09% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.52% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 42.79% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 57.21% (-0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 50.79% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.21% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.08% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.92% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 10.68% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.32% (-0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 60.88% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 39.12% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 28.89% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 71.11% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.27% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.73% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.14%
Under 3.5 96.86%

Score analysis

New York City FC 50.84%
Draw 25.02%
San Jose Earthquakes 24.14%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 10.54% (+0.03)
Total : 50.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.02%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 6.02% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.4%
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2024 12.30am
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Julian Fernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Julian Fernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 17' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 17' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 50' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 50' goal
  • James Sands 60' yellowcard
  • James Sands 60' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 85' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 85' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+2' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+2' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 23'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 23'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 53'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 53'
Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keaton Parks 74' goal
  • Alexander Callens 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pereira 78' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Gloster 88' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Jul 12, 2020 3.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Yankee Stadium (New York City)
  • Keaton Parks 40' goal
  • Alexandru Mitrita 43' goal
  • Alexander Callens 55' yellowcard
  • Sean Johnson 94' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 20'
  • yellowcard Shea Salinas 47'
  • yellowcard Magnus Eriksson 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2018 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Yeferson Quintana 3' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ebenezer Ofori 41'
  • goal Anton Tinnerholm 49'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 60'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 67'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 74'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 89'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 93'
Major League Soccer
Apr 1, 2017 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 11' goal
  • Alexander Ring 54' yellowcard
  • Rodney Wallace 59' yellowcard
  • Thomas McNamara 67' goal
  • Jack Harrison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Urena 7'
  • redcard Victor Bernardez 80'