Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 9.00pm
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 9.30pm
Kansas 2 - 1 NY City

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 11.00pm
Earthquakes 3 - 2 Portland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw has a probability of 25.05% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it is 0-1 (6.05%).

Result

New York City FC 50.79%
Draw 25.05% (-0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes 24.2% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.6% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.4% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.87% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.19% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 79.81% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 39.18%
Draw 40.87%
San Jose Earthquakes 19.95%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 58.65% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.46%
San Jose Earthquakes 34.89% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 65.46%
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 24.04%
Over 9 54.07% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 34.54%
Over 10.5 42.77% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 57.23% (+0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 50.76% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.24% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 74.98% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.65% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.35% (+0.01)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 60.98% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.02% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.94%
Under 1.5 71.06%
Over 2.5 10.28% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.72% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.86% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 50.8%
Draw 25.05%
San Jose Earthquakes 24.21%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 9.79% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 10.51%
Total : 50.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 6.19%
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 25.05%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 6.05% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 24.21%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2024 12.30am
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Julian Fernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Julian Fernandez 15' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 17' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 17' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 50' goal
  • Hannes Wolf 50' goal
  • James Sands 60' yellowcard
  • James Sands 60' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 85' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 85' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+2' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+2' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 23'
  • yellowcard Jackson Yueill 23'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 53'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 53'
Major League Soccer
May 1, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Keaton Parks 74' goal
  • Alexander Callens 77' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pereira 78' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Gloster 88' goal
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Jul 12, 2020 3.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 36
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Yankee Stadium (New York City)
  • Keaton Parks 40' goal
  • Alexandru Mitrita 43' goal
  • Alexander Callens 55' yellowcard
  • Sean Johnson 94' yellowcard
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 20'
  • yellowcard Shea Salinas 47'
  • yellowcard Magnus Eriksson 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 5
Apr 1, 2018 1.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Yeferson Quintana 3' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ebenezer Ofori 41'
  • goal Anton Tinnerholm 49'
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 60'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 67'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 74'
  • yellowcard Anton Tinnerholm 89'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 93'
Major League Soccer
Apr 1, 2017 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Harrison 11' goal
  • Alexander Ring 54' yellowcard
  • Rodney Wallace 59' yellowcard
  • Thomas McNamara 67' goal
  • Jack Harrison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Urena 7'
  • redcard Victor Bernardez 80'