Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.59% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%) , while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.