Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.