Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.