Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Mar 1, 2026 9.30pm
Subaru Park
NY City

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
DC United 1 - 0 Philadelphia

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 12.00am
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
1

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for New York City FC has a probability of 23.68% and a draw has a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest New York City FC win is 1-2 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.27%).

Result

Philadelphia Union 54.43% ▲ (+6.28)
Draw 21.89% ▼ (-2.31)
New York City FC 23.68% ▼ (-3.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.92% ▲ (+3.08)
Under 1.5 20.08% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 2.5 57.84% ▲ (+4.05)
Under 2.5 42.16% ▼ (-4.05)
Over 3.5 35.27% ▲ (+3.09)
Under 3.5 64.73% ▼ (-3.08)
Over 4.5 21.81% ▲ (+3.05)
Under 4.5 78.19% ▼ (-3.05)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 46.91% ▲ (+6.89)
Draw 36.42% ▼ (-4.11)
New York City FC 16.67% ▼ (-2.78)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 66.78% ▲ (+5.60)
No Goal 5.21% ▼ (-1.08)
New York City FC 28.01% ▼ (-4.52)

Corners

Over 8 61.02% ▲ (+0.60)
Equal 8 11.7% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 8 27.29% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 9 48.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 12.27% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 9 38.98% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 10.5 37.04% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 10.5 62.96% ▲ (+0.26)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 53.39% ▲ (+6.25)
Under 1.5 46.61% ▼ (-6.25)
Over 2.5 28.01% ▲ (+5.46)
Under 2.5 71.99% ▼ (-5.46)
Over 3.5 12.2% ▲ (+3.62)
Under 3.5 87.8% ▼ (-3.63)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.39% ▼ (-4.47)
Under 0.5 40.61% ▲ (+4.47)
Over 1.5 28.14% ▼ (-2.65)
Under 1.5 71.86% ▲ (+2.66)
Over 2.5 10.04% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 2.5 89.96% ▲ (+1.20)
Over 3.5 3.2% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 96.8% ▲ (+0.38)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 54.43%
Draw 21.89%
New York City FC 23.68%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.44)
2-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.82)
3-1 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.47)
3-0 @ 5.46% ▲ (+1.46)
3-2 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 12.12% ▲ (+3.71)
Total : 54.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.95)
2-2 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-1.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 21.89%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.63)
0-1 @ 5.48% ▼ (-1.55)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.85)
1-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.40)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.30)
Total : 23.68%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Nov 24, 2025 12.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NY City
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Philadelphia
Oct 5, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NY City
Major League Soccer
NY City
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
Philadelphia
  • Alonso Martinez 55' goal
  • yellowcard Olwethu Makhanya 33'
  • yellowcard Francis Westfield 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 6
FT Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 73'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 74'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 47' goal
  • Julian Carranza 48' goal
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'

Form Data

Philadelphia 7 - 0 Defence Force
DC United 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Defence Force 0 - 5 Philadelphia
Montreal 2 - 4 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 2 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies
Philadelphia 3 - 0 Buducnost
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 NY City
NY City 0 - 2 Earthquakes
Kansas 2 - 1 NY City
Los Angeles 1 - 1 NY City
Austin 2 - 0 NY City
NY City 0 - 0 Tampa Bay Rowdies