Major League Soccer
Mar 1, 2026 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Subaru Park
  • Ben Bender 59' yellowcard
  • Stas Korzeniowski 59' yellowcard
  • Stas Kornzeniowski 59' yellowcard
  • Cavan Sullivan 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Sal Olivas 83' yellowcard
  • Sal Olivas 84' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 89' yellowcard
  • Geiner Martínez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Hannes Wolf 36'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 74'
  • yellowcard Drew Baiera 83'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 83'
  • yellowcard Hannes Wolf 83'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 89'
  • goal Tayvon Gray 90'+9'

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
DC United 1 - 0 Philadelphia
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Agustín Anello

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 12.00am
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 54.35% (-0.08)
Draw 21.91% (+0.02)
New York City FC 23.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.87% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.13% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 57.72% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 42.28% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 35.13% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 64.87% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 21.66% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 78.34% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 47.01% (+0.11)
Draw 36.42%
New York City FC 16.57% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 66.68% (-0.10)
No Goal 5.22% (+0.01)
New York City FC 28.1% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 61.16% (+0.14)
Equal 8 11.72% (+0.03)
Under 8 27.12% (-0.17)
Over 9 48.84% (+0.10)
Equal 9 12.32% (+0.06)
Under 9 38.84% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 37.08% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 62.92% (-0.04)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 53.27% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 46.73% (+0.12)
Over 2.5 27.89% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 72.11% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 12.1% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 87.9% (+0.11)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.48% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 40.52% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 28.11% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.89% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.11% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 89.89% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.77% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 54.35%
Draw 21.92%
New York City FC 23.74%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.42% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
Other @ 12% (-0.12)
Total : 54.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.22% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 21.92%
New York City FC
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-1 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.13% (+0.01)
Total : 23.74%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 24, 2025 12.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 55' goal
  • yellowcard Olwethu Makhanya 33'
  • yellowcard Francis Westfield 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 6
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 73'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 74'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Subaru Park
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 47' goal
  • Julian Carranza 48' goal
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'