Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.02% and a win for Defence Force had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%) , while for a Defence Force win it was 0-1 (5.76%).