Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Defence Force had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Defence Force win was 2-1 (6.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%).