CONCACAF Champions League
Feb 18, 2026 11.00pm
Hasely Crawford Stadium

Defence Force vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Defence Force

Philadelphia Union

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Defence Force has a probability of 29.95% and a draw has a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Defence Force win is 2-1 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.14%).

Result

Defence Force 29.95% (+3.15)
Draw 21.18% (+0.02)
Philadelphia Union 48.82% (-3.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.28% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.1% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 16.9% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 63.59% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 36.41% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 42.86% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 57.09% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 28.03% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 71.97% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Defence Force 29.38% (+3.79)
Draw 35.82% (-0.32)
Philadelphia Union 34.8% (-3.49)

Team To Score First

Defence Force 43.19% (+2.54)
No Goal 4.21% (-0.22)
Philadelphia Union 52.6% (-2.31)

Corners

Over 8 48.3% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.41% (-0.19)
Under 8 40.29% (+0.47)
Over 9 37.48% (-0.09)
Equal 9 10.82% (-0.20)
Under 9 51.7% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 28.01% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 71.99% (-0.11)

Defence Force Goals

Over 1.5 35.63% (+2.95)
Under 1.5 64.37% (-2.94)
Over 2.5 15.94% (+2.17)
Under 2.5 84.06% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 5.92% (+0.79)
Under 3.5 94.08% (-0.80)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% (-1.46)
Under 0.5 21.44% (+1.47)
Over 1.5 52.72% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 47.28% (+2.19)
Over 2.5 28.9% (-2.22)
Under 2.5 71.1% (+2.21)
Over 3.5 14.23% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 85.77% (+1.16)

Score analysis

Defence Force 29.96%
Draw 21.17%
Philadelphia Union 48.81%
Defence Force
2-1 @ 6.36% (+0.79)
1-0 @ 5.61% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 3.92% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.32% (+0.47)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.28)
3-0 @ 2% (+0.63)
Other @ 5.64% (+0.70)
Total : 29.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.28% (+0.10)
Total : 21.17%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.57)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.47)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.47)
0-3 @ 4.07% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.32)
Other @ 13.95% (-1.25)
Total : 48.81%