Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.45% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 1-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%) , while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.