Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Mexico United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.