Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Mexico United win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Colorado Springs had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Colorado Springs win was 0-1 (6.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.