Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2026 12.00am
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Marco Pašalić 18' goal
  • Martín Ojeda 24' goal
  • Iago Teodoro 59' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 66' yellowcard
  • Eduard Atuesta 79' yellowcard
  • Tiago 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Silvetti 46'
  • goal Mateo Silvetti 49'
  • goal Lionel Messi  57'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 85'
  • goal Lionel Messi  90'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Luján 90'+2'

Orlando City vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Martín Ojeda

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.30am
Los Angeles 3 - 0 Inter Miami
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 2-1 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%).

Result

Orlando City 37.39% (-0.65)
Draw 23.98% (+0.02)
Inter Miami 38.66% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.33% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.08% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.92% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 60% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 38.34% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 61.66% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 23.26% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 76.74% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 32.15% (-0.15)
Draw 37.58% (+0.02)
Inter Miami 30.28% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Orlando City 49.92% (-0.08)
No Goal 5.02% (+0.02)
Inter Miami 45.06% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 58.53% (-1.11)
Equal 8 11.5% (+0.10)
Under 8 29.97% (+1.01)
Over 9 46.74% (-1.11)
Equal 9 11.79% (-0.02)
Under 9 41.47% (+1.11)
Over 10.5 35.66% (-1.00)
Under 10.5 64.34% (+1.00)

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 42.31% (-0.59)
Under 1.5 57.69% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 19.14% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 80.86% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 7.16% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 92.84% (+0.35)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 73.54% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 26.46% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 43.85% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 56.15% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 20.25% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 79.75% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 7.72% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 92.28% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Orlando City 37.38%
Draw 23.99%
Inter Miami 38.67%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.12% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 6.78% (-0.34)
Total : 37.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.02% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.81% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.38% (-0.02)
Total : 23.99%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.57% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.71% (+0.09)
Other @ 7.34% (+0.15)
Total : 38.67%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 11, 2025 1.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2025 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Noah Allen 11' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Falcon 55' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 73' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 75' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 43'
  • goal Marco Pasalic 53'
  • goal Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 90'+4'
Club Friendlies 1
Feb 15, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Raymond James Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 17' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 40' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 54' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 82' yellowcard
  • goal Tadeo Allende 22'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 53'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 82'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2024 9.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 4' goal
  • Luis Suarez 11' goal
  • Robert Taylor 29' goal
  • Diego Gomez 51' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 57' goal
  • Lionel Messi 62' goal
  • Leonardo Campana 83' yellowcard
  • Noah Allen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 33'