Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2026 12.00am
Exploria Stadium

Orlando City vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Tiago

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.30am
Los Angeles 3 - 0 Inter Miami

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orlando City win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Inter Miami has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.52%).

Result

Orlando City 38.56% (-0.05)
Draw 24.32%
Inter Miami 37.12% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.2% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.07% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 19.93% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.93% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.07% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.15% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 62.85% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 22.47% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 77.53% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Orlando City 34.4% (-0.03)
Draw 37.18%
Inter Miami 28.41%

Team To Score First

Orlando City 51.41%
No Goal 5.41% (-0.01)
Inter Miami 43.18% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.32%
Equal 8 11.25%
Under 8 28.43%
Over 9 48.61%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 39.68%
Over 10.5 37.46%
Under 10.5 62.54%

Orlando City Goals

Over 1.5 42.68% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 57.32% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 19.55% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 80.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.41% (-0.02)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.79% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 41.78% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.22% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 18.6% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.4% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.15% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.85% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Orlando City 38.56%
Draw 24.32%
Inter Miami 37.13%
Orlando City
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.04)
Other @ 7.19% (+0.02)
Total : 38.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38%
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 24.32%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 6.75% (+0.04)
Total : 37.13%

Head to Head

Leagues Cup
Aug 28, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 11, 2025 1.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2025 12.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Noah Allen 11' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Falcon 55' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 73' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 75' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 43'
  • goal Marco Pasalic 53'
  • goal Dag­ur Dan Thor­halls­son 90'+4'
Club Friendlies 1
Feb 15, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Raymond James Stadium
  • Martin Ojeda 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 17' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 40' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Enrique 54' goal
  • Alexander Freeman 82' yellowcard
  • goal Tadeo Allende 22'
  • yellowcard Sergio Busquets 53'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 82'
  • goal Fabrice Picault 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Luis Muriel 71' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Cremaschi 57'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Taylor 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Freire 79'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2024 9.30pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 4' goal
  • Luis Suarez 11' goal
  • Robert Taylor 29' goal
  • Diego Gomez 51' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 57' goal
  • Lionel Messi 62' goal
  • Leonardo Campana 83' yellowcard
  • Noah Allen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 33'