Club Friendlies 1
Jan 25, 2026 1.00am
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Alianza Lima vs Inter Miami - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

All competitions

Inter Miami

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Inter Miami has a probability of 25.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alianza Lima win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Inter Miami win is 1-2 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result

Alianza Lima 50.75% (-0.35)
Draw 23.51% (+0.16)
Inter Miami 25.74% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.86% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.64% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 18.36% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 60.56% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 39.44% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 37.1% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 62.9% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 23.22% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 76.78% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Alianza Lima 39.99% (-0.18)
Draw 37.34% (-0.08)
Inter Miami 22.68% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Alianza Lima 59.42% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.82% (+0.04)
Inter Miami 35.76% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 56.28%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 31.97%
Over 9 44.46%
Equal 9 11.83%
Under 9 43.72%
Over 10.5 33.53%
Under 10.5 66.47%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 1.5 53.21% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 46.79% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 27% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 73% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 11.89% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 88.11% (+0.05)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5 63.47% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 36.53% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 32.09% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 67.91% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 12.29% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 87.71% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 3.81% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Alianza Lima 50.75%
Draw 23.5%
Inter Miami 25.74%
Alianza Lima
2-1 @ 10.29% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.07% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.74% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.09)
Other @ 11.6% (-0.09)
Total : 50.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.82% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.03)
Total : 23.5%
Inter Miami
1-2 @ 6.71% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.52% (-0.01)
Total : 25.74%