Club Friendlies 3
Jan 14, 2026 9.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Sergio Pena 1' goal
  • Sergio Peña 1' goal
  • Julian Palacios 57' goal
  • Julián Palacios 57' goal
  • goal Erick Castillo 58'

Union vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 12.00am
Independiente 2 - 1 Alianza Lima

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 30.72% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.98%) , while for a Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Union 42.55%
Draw 30.72%
Alianza Lima 26.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 63.82%
Under 1.5 36.18%
Over 2.5 37.15%
Under 2.5 62.85%
Over 3.5 17.68%
Under 3.5 82.32%
Over 4.5 8.44%
Under 4.5 91.56%

First Half Winner

Union 27.29%
Draw 50.86%
Alianza Lima 21.85%

Team To Score First

Union 51.13%
No Goal 11.98%
Alianza Lima 36.89%

Corners

Over 8 44.56%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 43.23%
Over 9 33.34%
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 55.44%
Over 10.5 23.86%
Under 10.5 76.14%

Union Goals

Over 1.5 34.52%
Under 1.5 65.48%
Over 2.5 12.17%
Under 2.5 87.83%
Over 3.5 3.53%
Under 3.5 96.47%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 59.09%
Under 0.5 40.91%
Over 1.5 22.94%
Under 1.5 77.06%
Over 2.5 6.63%
Under 2.5 93.37%
Over 3.5 1.61%
Under 3.5 98.39%

Score analysis

Union 42.55%
Draw 30.72%
Alianza Lima 26.73%
Union
1-0 @ 14.02%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 42.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.98%
0-0 @ 11.98%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 30.72%
Alianza Lima
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.73%