Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.98% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.