Major League Soccer
Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
  • Dániel Sallói 43' goal
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 46' yellowcard
  • Deandre Kerr  46' yellowcard
  • Josh Sargent 70' yellowcard
  • Kobe Franklin 82' yellowcard
  • Alonso Coello 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tanner Rosborough 66'
  • yellowcard Omar Valencia 77'
  • yellowcard Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 77'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 90'+2'
  • goal Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 90'+7'

Toronto vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm
Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 8.30pm
NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 Montreal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 37.32% (+0.04)
Draw 26.76%
New York Red Bulls 35.98% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 75% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 25% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 50.92% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.12% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 70.88% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.07% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.93% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Toronto 27.73%
Draw 44.23%
New York Red Bulls 28.04%

Team To Score First

Toronto 45.43% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.1% (+0.01)
New York Red Bulls 47.47%

Corners

Over 8 57.51%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 30.41%
Over 9 45.22%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 42.49%
Over 10.5 33.82%
Under 10.5 66.18%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 37.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 62.08% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.2%
Under 2.5 84.8%
Over 3.5 5.05%
Under 3.5 94.95%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 70.15% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.85% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.99% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.01% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.07% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.91% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.09% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Toronto 37.33%
Draw 26.77%
New York Red Bulls 35.97%
Toronto
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.03%
3-1 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 37.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.77%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.59%
Other @ 4.69% (-0.01)
Total : 35.97%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Emil Forsberg 44' goal
  • Serge Ngoma 74' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 76' goal
  • Felipe Carballo 90'+2' redcard
  • Felipe Carballo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 24'
  • yellowcard Federico Bernardeschi 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Raoul Petretta 45'+4'
  • goal Deandre Kerr 70'
  • yellowcard Derrick Etienne 73'
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT BMO Field
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Osorio 30' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 43' yellowcard
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 66' goal
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Federico Bernardeschi 75' redcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • Kosi Thompson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Meara 23'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • goal Emil Forsberg 27'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • yellowcard Andres Reyes 38'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal John Tolkin 48'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Lewis Morgan 69'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'
  • goal Elias Manoel 88'
Leagues Cup
Jul 28, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • yellowcard Nickseon Gomis 25'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Elias Manoel 30' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Dennis Gjengaar 47' goal
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Daniel Edelman 68' yellowcard
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Cameron Harper 75' goal
  • Noah Eile 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Longstaff 54'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 86'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 48' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal
  • Luquinhas 65' goal