Mar 14, 2026 5.00pm

BMO Field

Toronto vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
D

Major League Soccer

W
L
L
W
L
D

Last game

Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto

Goals scored

3

Top scorer

Djordje Mihailovic

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

L
W
W
L
L
L

Major League Soccer

L
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 8, 2026 8.30pm

NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 Montreal

Goals scored

3

Top scorer

Julian Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for New York Red Bulls has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 26.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win is 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

Toronto 37.22%

Draw 26.86%

New York Red Bulls 35.91%

Both Teams to Score:

54.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.61%

Under 1.5 25.39%

Over 2.5 50.46%

Under 2.5 49.54%

Over 3.5 28.78%

Under 3.5 71.19%

Over 4.5 15.83%

Under 4.5 84.17%

First Half Winner

Toronto 27.77%

Draw 44.24%

New York Red Bulls 28%

Team To Score First

Toronto 45.43%

No Goal 7.23%

New York Red Bulls 47.34%

Corners

Over 8 57.46%

Equal 8 12.06%

Under 8 30.48%

Over 9 45.2%

Equal 9 12.26%

Under 9 42.53%

Over 10.5 33.83%

Under 10.5 66.17%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 37.61%

Under 1.5 62.39%

Over 2.5 14.99%

Under 2.5 85.01%

Over 3.5 4.96%

Under 3.5 95.04%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 69.94%

Under 0.5 30.06%

Over 1.5 36.73%

Under 1.5 63.27%

Over 2.5 14.78%

Under 2.5 85.22%

Over 3.5 4.85%

Under 3.5 95.15%

Score analysis

Toronto 37.22%

Draw 26.87%

New York Red Bulls 35.91%

Toronto

1-0 @ 9.34%

2-1 @ 8.27%

2-0 @ 6.05%

3-1 @ 3.65%

3-0 @ 2.7%

3-2 @ 2.47%

Other @ 4.74%

Total : 37.22%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.47%

0-0 @ 7.23%

2-2 @ 5.74%

3-3 @ 1.21%

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 26.87%

New York Red Bulls

0-1 @ 8.82%

1-2 @ 8.11%

0-2 @ 5.63%

1-3 @ 3.55%

0-3 @ 2.61%

2-3 @ 2.56%

Other @ 4.63%

Total : 35.91%

Head to Head

Jun 26, 2025 12.30am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 22, 2025 11.30pm

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Emil Forsberg 44'
Serge Ngoma 74'
Emil Forsberg 76'
Felipe Carballo 90'+2'
Felipe Carballo 90'+2'

Matty Longstaff 24'
Federico Bernardeschi 45'+4'
Raoul Petretta 45'+4'
Deandre Kerr 70'
Derrick Etienne 73'

Oct 3, 2024 12.30am

1

4

HT : 0 2

FT BMO Field

Jonathan Osorio 30'
Jonathan Osorio 30'
Federico Bernardeschi 43'
Federico Bernardeschi 43'
Prince Osei Owusu 66'
Prince Osei Owusu 66'
Federico Bernardeschi 75'
Federico Bernardeschi 75'
Kosi Thompson 80'
Kosi Thompson 80'

Ryan Meara 23'
Ryan Meara 23'
Emil Forsberg 27'
Emil Forsberg 27'
Andres Reyes 38'
Andres Reyes 38'
John Tolkin 48'
John Tolkin 48'
Lewis Morgan 69'
Lewis Morgan 69'
Elias Manoel 88'
Elias Manoel 88'

Jul 28, 2024 1.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison

Nickseon Gomis 25'

Jun 23, 2024 12.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field

Elias Manoel 30'
Elias Manoel 30'
Dennis Gjengaar 47'
Dennis Gjengaar 47'
Daniel Edelman 68'
Daniel Edelman 68'
Cameron Harper 75'
Cameron Harper 75'
Noah Eile 90'+2'

Matty Longstaff 54'
Matty Longstaff 54'
Deybi Flores 86'
Deybi Flores 86'

Oct 8, 2023 12.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison

Tom Barlow 45'
Tom Barlow 45'
Luquinhas 48'
Luquinhas 48'
Luquinhas 65'
Luquinhas 65'

Form Data

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto

Vancouver 3 - 0 Toronto

Dallas 3 - 2 Toronto

Toronto 2 - 1 Polissya

Fredrikstad 1 - 0 Toronto

Toronto 2 - 2 AIK

NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 Montreal

NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England

Orlando City 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Houston 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Atlanta 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls

NY Red Bulls 1 - 3 Dallas