Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Chase Stadium
  • Lionel Messi  10' goal
  • Gonzalo Luján 46' yellowcard
  • Germán Berterame 58' yellowcard
  • Yannick Bright 58' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 73' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 81' goal
  • Dániel Pintér 87' yellowcard
  • goal Guilherme Biro 6'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 46'
  • goal Jayden Nelson 53'
  • yellowcard Besard Sabovic 68'
  • yellowcard Jon Bell 68'
  • yellowcard CJ Fodrey 76'
  • yellowcard Žan Kolmanič 80'

Inter Miami vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
NY City 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.45am
Austin 0 - 0 Los Angeles
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Brendan Hines-Ike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.92% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Inter Miami 65.96% (+0.03)
Draw 18.92%
Austin FC 15.15% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.56% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.34% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 16.66% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 63.26% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 36.74% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 41.06% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 58.94% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 27.62% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 72.38% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 53.26%
Draw 31.86%
Austin FC 14.88%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 69.23% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.12% (+0.03)
Austin FC 26.65%

Corners

Over 8 57.42%
Equal 8 11.03%
Under 8 31.55%
Over 9 46.25%
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 42.58%
Over 10.5 35.82%
Under 10.5 64.18%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 64.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.04% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 39.2% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 60.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.55% (+0.02)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 50.73% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 49.27% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 21.28% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 78.72% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 6.65% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 93.35% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 1.79% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 65.97%
Draw 18.92%
Austin FC 15.15%
Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.75% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 19.26% (-0.02)
Total : 65.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.92%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Total : 15.15%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Josef Martinez 47' goal
  • Josef Martinez 47' goal
  • goal Nick Lima 51'
  • goal Nick Lima 51'
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2022 9.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sebastian Driussi 22' goal
  • Julio Cascante 27' goal
  • Nick Lima 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Urruti 38' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 51' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 66' goal
  • Diego Fagundez 72' yellowcard
  • Ethan Finlay 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 25'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 54'
  • yellowcard Gregore 76'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Higuain 87'