Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Chase Stadium

Inter Miami vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
NY City 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Lionel Messi 

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.45am
Austin 0 - 0 Los Angeles
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Brendan Hines-Ike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Miami win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw has a probability of 18.37% and a win for Austin FC has a probability of 14.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.39%) , while for a Austin FC win it is 1-2 (4%).

Result

Inter Miami 66.95% (+0.04)
Draw 18.37%
Austin FC 14.68% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.29% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 16.71% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 63.2% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 36.8% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 41.39% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 58.61% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 28.52% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 71.48% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Inter Miami 51.35%
Draw 32.61%
Austin FC 16.04%

Team To Score First

Inter Miami 68.46% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.17% (+0.04)
Austin FC 27.37% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.97%
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 31.84%
Over 9 45.65%
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 43.03%
Over 10.5 35.1%
Under 10.5 64.9%

Inter Miami Goals

Over 1.5 65.49% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 34.51% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 40.19% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 59.81% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 20.9% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.1% (+0.04)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 48.95% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 51.05% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 20.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 79.8% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 6.31% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.71% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.29% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Inter Miami 66.96%
Draw 18.37%
Austin FC 14.69%
Inter Miami
2-0 @ 9.79% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.53% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.76% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.64% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 20.71% (-0.03)
Total : 66.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.37%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 4%
0-1 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.52% (-0.03)
Total : 14.69%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Inter Miami CF Stadium
  • Josef Martinez 47' goal
  • Josef Martinez 47' goal
  • goal Nick Lima 51'
  • goal Nick Lima 51'
Major League Soccer
Mar 6, 2022 9.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sebastian Driussi 22' goal
  • Julio Cascante 27' goal
  • Nick Lima 29' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Urruti 38' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 51' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 66' goal
  • Diego Fagundez 72' yellowcard
  • Ethan Finlay 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 25'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 42'
  • goal Leonardo Campana 54'
  • yellowcard Gregore 76'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Higuain 87'