Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.