Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.23% and a win for DC United had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.