Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 6.00pm
Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 6.00pm
Austin 2 - 1 Chicago Fire

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 9.30pm
Kansas 2 - 1 NY City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw has a probability of 23.55% and a win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it is 1-2 (6.13%).

Result

Austin FC 53.06% (+0.03)
Draw 23.55% (-0.02)
Sporting Kansas City 23.4% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.74% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.58% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.42% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 58.37%
Under 2.5 41.63% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 35.43%
Under 3.5 64.57%
Over 4.5 21.64% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.36% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 41.15% (-0.01)
Draw 40.44%
Sporting Kansas City 18.4%

Team To Score First

Austin FC 61.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.64%
Sporting Kansas City 33.13% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.54% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.65% (-0.03)
Over 9 44.62% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.92% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.46% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 33.61% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.39% (-0.02)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 52.85% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.15% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 27.27% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 72.73% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.37% (-0.01)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 60.47% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.53% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.24% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.76% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.24%
Under 3.5 96.76%

Score analysis

Austin FC 53.06%
Draw 23.54%
Sporting Kansas City 23.38%
Austin FC
2-1 @ 10.01%
1-0 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 11.47% (+0.01)
Total : 53.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.54%
Sporting Kansas City
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 23.38%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 8, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Mikkel Desler 36' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Desler 36' yellowcard
  • Ilie Sanchez 58' yellowcard
  • Ilie Sanchez 58' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 62' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 62' yellowcard
  • Osman Bukari 76' goal
  • Osman Bukari 76' goal
  • yellowcard Erik Thommy 35'
  • yellowcard Erik Thommy 35'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 59'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 59'
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 85'
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 85'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Tim Leibold 26' goal
  • Tim Leibold 26' goal
  • Jacob Davis 34' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 34' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Stephen Afrifa 69' goal
  • Stephen Afrifa 69' goal
  • Johnny Russell 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 29'
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 29'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 34'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 34'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 64'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 64'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 1.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Julio Cascante 23' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 23' yellowcard
  • Jader Obrian 28' goal
  • Jader Obrian 28' goal
  • Jader Obrian 39' goal
  • Jader Obrian 39' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 46' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 46' goal
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 70' yellowcard
  • Zan Kolmanic 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 89' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 89' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 90' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 90' yellowcard
  • goal Johnny Russell 19'
  • goal Johnny Russell 19'
  • goal Jacob Davis 63'
  • goal Jacob Davis 63'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 88'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 88'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Gyasi Zardes 17' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 17' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 19' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 19' goal
  • goal Dany Rosero 33'
  • goal Dany Rosero 33'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Alan Pulido 19' goal
  • Alan Pulido 19' goal
  • Robert Castellanos 47' goal
  • Robert Castellanos 47' goal
  • Alan Pulido 57' goal
  • Alan Pulido 57' goal
  • Khiry Shelton 89' goal
  • Khiry Shelton 89' goal
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 61'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 61'