Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.