Major League Soccer
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Energizer Park
  • Brendan McSorley 59' yellowcard
  • Marcel Hartel 60' goal
  • Miguel Perez 83' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 83' yellowcard
  • Lukas MacNaughton 84' yellowcard
  • Miguel Perez 84' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 90' yellowcard
  • Cedric Teuchert 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Cedric Teuchert 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 69'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 69'
  • yellowcard David Schnegg 69'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 70'
  • goal Pep Biel 73'
  • yellowcard Tyger Smalls 87'

St Louis City vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 19, 2025 2.00am
St Louis City 2 - 2 Salt Lake
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 8, 2025 12.10am
Charlotte FC 1 - 3 NY City
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Pep Biel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (7.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

St Louis City 43.1% (+0.04)
Draw 25.42%
Charlotte FC 31.51% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.44% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.48% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.52% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 54.81%
Under 2.5 45.19%
Over 3.5 32.42%
Under 3.5 67.58%
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.14% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

St Louis City 32.06%
Draw 41.25%
Charlotte FC 26.69%

Team To Score First

St Louis City 51.74%
No Goal 6.4%
Charlotte FC 41.86%

Corners

Over 8 63.61%
Equal 8 10.86%
Under 8 25.53%
Over 9 52.01%
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 36.39%
Over 10.5 40.68%
Under 10.5 59.32%

St Louis City Goals

Over 1.5 44.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 55.64% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.11% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.89% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.4% (-0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 67.39% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 32.61% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.01% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 64.99% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.64% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.36% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.42%
Under 3.5 95.58%

Score analysis

St Louis City 43.11%
Draw 25.42%
Charlotte FC 31.5%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 7.32% (+0.03)
Total : 43.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.91%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.42%
Charlotte FC
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.3%
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 31.5%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bill Tuiloma 41' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 45'+5' goal
  • Klauss 71' goal
  • goal Enzo Copetti 25'