Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.