Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.32% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.