Major League Soccer
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Aleksey Miranchuk 38' goal
  • Matías Galarza 59' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Miranchuk 73' goal
  • Saba Lobjanidze 79' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 79' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 85' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 86' yellowcard
  • goal Sergi Solans 23'
  • goal Aiden Hezarkhani 27'
  • goal Zavier Gozo 40'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dillon 46'
  • yellowcard Dominik Marczuk 62'
  • yellowcard Zach Booth 81'
  • yellowcard Zach Booth 82'
  • yellowcard Jesus Barea 82'
  • yellowcard Sam Junqua 85'

Atlanta United vs Real Salt Lake - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 12.30am
Earthquakes 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 12.30am
Salt Lake 2 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Aiden Hezarkhani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.32% and a win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a Real Salt Lake win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 49.81% (+0.04)
Draw 25.32% (-0.08)
Real Salt Lake 24.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.2% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.41% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 25.59% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 51.43% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 48.57% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 30.43% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 69.54% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 17.81% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.19% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37.97%
Draw 39.15%
Real Salt Lake 22.88%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 56.77% (+0.05)
No Goal 7.51% (-0.07)
Real Salt Lake 35.72% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.53%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.09%
Over 9 48.67%
Equal 9 11.86%
Under 9 39.47%
Over 10.5 37.37%
Under 10.5 62.63%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 47.37% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 52.63% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 22.34% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.66% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.69% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.31% (-0.05)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 59.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.76% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.24% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 9.99% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.01% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 49.81%
Draw 25.32%
Real Salt Lake 24.87%
Atlanta United
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 4.99% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.43% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.44% (+0.04)
Total : 49.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 25.32%
Real Salt Lake
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 24.87%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 2.30am
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 1' goal
  • Matt Crooks 1' goal
  • Diego Luna 57' yellowcard
  • Diego Luna 57' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 59' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 59' goal
  • Cristian Arango 68' goal
  • Cristian Arango 68' goal
  • Alexandros Katranis 78' goal
  • Alexandros Katranis 78' goal
  • Diego Luna 84' goal
  • Diego Luna 84' goal
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 31'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 31'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 67'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 67'
  • goal Daniel Rios 80'
  • goal Daniel Rios 80'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 89'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 7' goal
  • Ronaldo Cisneros 33' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Johan Kappelhof 37'
  • yellowcard Erik Holt 44'
  • yellowcard Nick Besler 56'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 14
May 3, 2020 8.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 16
May 25, 2019 2.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium (Sandy, Utah)
  • Sebastian Saucedo 36' goal
  • Aaron Herrera 66' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Savarino 94' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Parkhurst 38'
  • goal Josef Martinez 78'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Sep 23, 2018 12.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Julian Gressel 37' goal
  • Hector Villalba 61' goal
  • yellowcard Sunny 43'
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2017 2.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kyle Beckerman 21' yellowcard
  • Albert Rusnak 69' goal
  • goal Hector Villalba 9'
  • yellowcard Carlos Carmona 38'
  • goal Yamil Asad 46'
  • yellowcard Gregory Garza 77'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 84'
  • yellowcard Alec Kann 93'
  • goal Brandon Vazquez 96'