Major League Soccer
Earthquakes
Mar 1, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT PayPal Park
Atlanta
  • Preston Judd 24' goal
  • Timo Werner 61' yellowcard
  • Jonathan González 77' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 77' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 79' goal
  • Paul Marie 90' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 90' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 60'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Miranchuk 60'
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 70'

San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Daniel Munie

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.84% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 56.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 22.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Atlanta United 20.91% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 21.01% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 57.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 42.88% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 34.99% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.01% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 4.5 21.19% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 78.81% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 45.94%
Draw 35.99%
Atlanta United 18.07%

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 64.27% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Atlanta United 30.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.16%
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 21.76%
Over 9 56.97%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 31.84%
Over 10.5 45.62%
Under 10.5 54.38%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 55.06% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.94% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 87.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 41.72% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 25.97% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 74.03% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.61% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.65% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 56.25%
Draw 22.84%
Atlanta United 20.9%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.61% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 3.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 56.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.84%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 20.9%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Earthquakes
  • Thiago Almada 90'+3' goal
  • Thiago Almada 90'+9' goal
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 12'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
Earthquakes
May 30, 2020 11.00pm
Atlanta
Major League Soccer Gameweek 37
Atlanta
Sep 21, 2019 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Earthquakes
  • Justin Meram 4' goal
  • Emerson Hyndman 14' yellowcard
  • Justin Meram 24' yellowcard
  • Emerson Hyndman 90' goal
  • Gonzalo Martinez 92' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 16'
  • goal Brad Guzan 27' (OG)
  • redcard Cristian Espinoza 34'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vega 48'
  • yellowcard Judson 62'
  • redcard Chris Wondolowski 91'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Earthquakes
Sep 20, 2018 4.00am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
Atlanta
  • Nick Lima 13' goal
  • Danny Hoesen 43' goal
  • Shea Salinas 53' yellowcard
  • Valeri Qazaishvili 58' goal
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 7'
  • yellowcard Jeff Larentowicz 18'
  • goal Hector Villalba 45'
  • goal Josef Martinez 70'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 73'
  • goal Josef Martinez 95'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Jul 5, 2017 12.00am
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Earthquakes
  • Anton Walkes 15' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carmona 42' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carmona 55' goal
  • Josef Martinez 65' goal
  • Jeff Larentowicz 74' yellowcard
  • Anton Walkes 81' goal
  • Josef Martinez 89' goal
  • Josef Martinez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Thompson 2'
  • yellowcard Kofi Sarkodie 10'
  • yellowcard David Bingham 18'
  • redcard Kofi Sarkodie 32'
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 66'
  • redcard Victor Bernardez 93'

Form Data

Earthquakes 3 - 0 Kansas
NY City 0 - 2 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 3 - 2 Portland
Earthquakes 1 - 0 Charlotte FC
Los Angeles 0 - 0 Earthquakes
Earthquakes 0 - 0 Monterey Bay
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 0 - 0 Dallas
Atlanta 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls
Houston 1 - 1 Atlanta
Atlanta 4 - 0 Lexington
Atlanta 1 - 1 DC United