Major League Soccer
Mar 1, 2026 12.30am
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 3 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Daniel Munie

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 9.45pm
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Atlanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw has a probability of 22.84% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.36%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 1-2 (5.49%).

Result

San Jose Earthquakes 56.25% (+0.07)
Draw 22.84% (+0.04)
Atlanta United 20.91% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.2% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 21.01% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 57.12% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 42.88% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 34.99% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 65.01% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 21.19% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 78.81% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

San Jose Earthquakes 45.94%
Draw 35.99%
Atlanta United 18.07%

Team To Score First

San Jose Earthquakes 64.27% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.56% (+0.05)
Atlanta United 30.17% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.16%
Equal 8 10.09%
Under 8 21.76%
Over 9 56.97%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 31.84%
Over 10.5 45.62%
Under 10.5 54.38%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 1.5 55.06% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.94% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 28.89% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.11% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.27% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 87.73% (+0.04)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 41.72% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 25.97% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 74.03% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.39% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.61% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.04)

Score analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 56.25%
Draw 22.84%
Atlanta United 20.9%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 10.12% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.98% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.61% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 12.14% (-0.03)
Total : 56.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.84%
Atlanta United
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.22% (-0.03)
Total : 20.9%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 90'+3' goal
  • Thiago Almada 90'+9' goal
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 12'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
May 30, 2020 11.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 37
Sep 21, 2019 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
  • Justin Meram 4' goal
  • Emerson Hyndman 14' yellowcard
  • Justin Meram 24' yellowcard
  • Emerson Hyndman 90' goal
  • Gonzalo Martinez 92' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Espinoza 16'
  • goal Brad Guzan 27' (OG)
  • redcard Cristian Espinoza 34'
  • yellowcard Daniel Vega 48'
  • yellowcard Judson 62'
  • redcard Chris Wondolowski 91'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Sep 20, 2018 4.00am
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Avaya Stadium (San Jose, California)
  • Nick Lima 13' goal
  • Danny Hoesen 43' goal
  • Shea Salinas 53' yellowcard
  • Valeri Qazaishvili 58' goal
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 7'
  • yellowcard Jeff Larentowicz 18'
  • goal Hector Villalba 45'
  • goal Josef Martinez 70'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 73'
  • goal Josef Martinez 95'
Major League Soccer
Jul 5, 2017 12.00am
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Anton Walkes 15' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carmona 42' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 45' yellowcard
  • Carlos Carmona 55' goal
  • Josef Martinez 65' goal
  • Jeff Larentowicz 74' yellowcard
  • Anton Walkes 81' goal
  • Josef Martinez 89' goal
  • Josef Martinez 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Thompson 2'
  • yellowcard Kofi Sarkodie 10'
  • yellowcard David Bingham 18'
  • redcard Kofi Sarkodie 32'
  • goal Chris Wondolowski 66'
  • redcard Victor Bernardez 93'