Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.97% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.