Apr 5, 2026 12.30am

4

2

HT : 1 1

FT Sports Illustrated Stadium

Julian Hall 12'
Emil Forsberg 48'
Kyle Smith 65'
Omar Valencia 70'
Tanner Rosborough 70'
Nehuén Benedetti 80'
Mohammed Sofo 80'
Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting 86'
Mohammed Sofo 90'+3'

Pavel Bucha 17'
Tah Anunga 67'
Kyle Smith 72'
Kenji Mboma Dem 75'
Alvas Powell 75'
Teenage Hadebe 75'
Ayoub Jabbari 84'

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

L
D
L
W
W
L

Major League Soccer

L
D
L
W
W
L

Last game

Mar 21, 2026 11.30pm

Charlotte FC 6 - 1 NY Red Bulls

Goals scored

9

Top scorer

Julian Hall

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

W
L
L
W
L
L

Major League Soccer

W
L
L
L
W
L

Last game

Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Goals scored

9

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 47.06%

Draw 22.44%

FC Cincinnati 30.53%

Both Teams to Score:

63.56% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 16.29% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 2.5 63.96% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 36.04% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 3.5 41.74% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 3.5 58.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Over 4.5 26.44% ▼ (-0.08)

Under 4.5 73.56% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 36.55%

Draw 37.88%

FC Cincinnati 25.57%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 56.32%

No Goal 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)

FC Cincinnati 39.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.84%

Equal 8 11.12%

Under 8 29.04%

Over 9 48.33%

Equal 9 11.51%

Under 9 40.16%

Over 10.5 37.39%

Under 10.5 62.61%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 51.69% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 48.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 2.5 26.37% ▼ (-0.06)

Under 2.5 73.63% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 11.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 3.5 88.76% ▲ (+0.04)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 67.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 32.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 37.98% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 62.02% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 2.5 17% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 83% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 3.5 6.65% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 3.5 93.35% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 47.06%

Draw 22.44%

FC Cincinnati 30.54%

New York Red Bulls

2-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)

1-0 @ 7.12%

2-0 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 5.46%

3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)

3-0 @ 3.86%

Other @ 10.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 47.06%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 6.42%

0-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)

3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 22.44%

FC Cincinnati

1-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.02)

0-1 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 3.68%

1-3 @ 3.42%

2-3 @ 3.1%

0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

Oct 5, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 23, 2025 12.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Obinna Nwobodo 64'
Obinna Nwobodo 64'
Kevin Denkey 70'
Kevin Denkey 70'
Corey Baird 88'
Corey Baird 88'

Alexander Hack 59'
Alexander Hack 59'

Jul 21, 2024 12.30am

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field

Lewis Morgan 7'
Lewis Morgan 7'
Kyle Duncan 52'
Kyle Duncan 52'
Lewis Morgan 59'
Lewis Morgan 59'
Dylan Nealis 79'
Dylan Nealis 79'

Corey Baird 67'
Corey Baird 67'
DeAndre Yedlin 88'
DeAndre Yedlin 88'
Ian Murphy 90'
Ian Murphy 90'

Apr 7, 2024 12.30am

1

2

HT : 2 2

FT Nippert Stadium

Yuya Kubo 3'
Yuya Kubo 3'
Obinna Nwobodo 32'
Obinna Nwobodo 32'
Matt Miazga 45'+4'
Matt Miazga 45'+4'
Luca Orellano 74'
Luca Orellano 74'

Frankie Amaya 19'
Frankie Amaya 19'
Dante Vanzeir 60'
Dante Vanzeir 60'
Frankie Amaya 70'
Frankie Amaya 70'
Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
Serge Ngoma 90'+5'

Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm

Nippert Stadium

Nov 4, 2023 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

ET Red Bull Arena, Harrison

Troy Lesesne 0'
Troy Lesesne 40'
Tom Barlow 41'
Tom Barlow 45'
Andres Reyes 55'

Santiago Arias 39'
Aaron Boupendza 75'
Yerson Mosquera 75'
Matt Miazga 98'
Matt Miazga 90'+10'

Form Data

Charlotte FC 6 - 1 NY Red Bulls

Toronto 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls

NY Red Bulls 0 - 3 Montreal

NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England

Orlando City 1 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Houston 3 - 2 NY Red Bulls

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Tigres 5 - 1 Cincinnati

New England 6 - 1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 3 - 0 Tigres

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto

Minnesota Utd 1 - 0 Cincinnati