Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 11.30pm
Charlotte FC 6 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Julian Hall

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 31% and a draw has a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.54%).

Result

New York Red Bulls 46.73% (+0.08)
Draw 22.31% (-0.04)
FC Cincinnati 31%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.67% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.27% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 15.73% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 64.76% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 35.24% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 42.49% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 57.51% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 27.11% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 72.89% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

New York Red Bulls 36.63%
Draw 37.57%
FC Cincinnati 25.8%

Team To Score First

New York Red Bulls 55.9% (+0.02)
No Goal 3.93% (-0.03)
FC Cincinnati 40.17% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.6%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 27.7%
Over 9 50.36%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 38.4%
Over 10.5 39.52%
Under 10.5 60.48%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 1.5 51.82% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 48.18% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 26.85% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 73.15% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 11.59% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 88.41% (-0.10)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 67.84% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.16% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.76% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.24% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 17.56% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.44% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 6.97% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.03% (-0.08)

Score analysis

New York Red Bulls 46.73%
Draw 22.32%
FC Cincinnati 30.99%
New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.84% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 11.2% (+0.09)
Total : 46.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.02)
Total : 22.32%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.58% (+0.08)
Total : 30.99%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Obinna Nwobodo 64' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 64' yellowcard
  • Kevin Denkey 70' goal
  • Kevin Denkey 70' goal
  • Corey Baird 88' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 59'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 59'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT MSU Soccer Park at Pittser Field
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 7' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Kyle Duncan 52' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Lewis Morgan 59' goal
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nealis 79' yellowcard
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • goal Corey Baird 67'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 88'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'
  • yellowcard Ian Murphy 90'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Yuya Kubo 3' goal
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Obinna Nwobodo 32' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matt Miazga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 74' yellowcard
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Frankie Amaya 19'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • goal Dante Vanzeir 60'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Frankie Amaya 70'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Serge Ngoma 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Nov 10, 2023 11.00pm
Nippert Stadium
Major League Soccer
Nov 4, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Troy Lesesne 0' redcard
  • Troy Lesesne 40' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 41' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 45' goal
  • Andres Reyes 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 39'
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 75'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 75'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 98'
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 90'+10'