Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT BMO Field

Emilio Aristizábal 82'
Kobe Franklin 82'
Malik Henry 82'
Lazar Stefanović 82'
Gilberto Flores 83'

Ayoub Jabbari 62'
Kyle Smith 62'
Gerardo Valenzuela 88'
Kenji Mboma Dem 88'
Kenji Mboma Dem 90'+2'
Obinna Nwobodo 90'+4'

Toronto vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

W
W
D
W
L
L

Major League Soccer

W
W
D
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm

Toronto 3 - 2 Colorado

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Dániel Sallói

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

L
W
L
L
W
L

Major League Soccer

L
W
L
L
L
W

Last game

Apr 5, 2026 12.30am

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 42.83% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 24.83%

FC Cincinnati 32.34% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

59.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 20.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 57.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 42.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 34.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 65.47% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 4.5 20.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 79.85% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Toronto 31.96%

Draw 40.28%

FC Cincinnati 27.77%

Team To Score First

Toronto 50.16% ▲ (+0.01)

No Goal 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)

FC Cincinnati 44.47%

Corners

Over 8 61.55%

Equal 8 10.88%

Under 8 27.57%

Over 9 50.14%

Equal 9 11.41%

Under 9 38.45%

Over 10.5 39.14%

Under 10.5 60.86%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 45.47% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 54.53% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 20.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 79.3% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 3.5 7.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 92.32% ▼ (-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 69.06%

Under 0.5 30.94%

Over 1.5 36.94%

Under 1.5 63.06%

Over 2.5 14.92%

Under 2.5 85.08%

Over 3.5 5%

Under 3.5 95%

Score analysis

Toronto 42.83%

Draw 24.83%

FC Cincinnati 32.33%

Toronto

2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 8.15%

2-0 @ 6.43%

3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.01)

3-0 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 42.83%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.48%

2-2 @ 6.31%

0-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)

3-3 @ 1.47%

Other @ 0.2%

Total : 24.83%

FC Cincinnati

1-2 @ 7.7%

0-1 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.03)

0-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.41%

2-3 @ 2.81%

0-3 @ 2.23%

Other @ 4.8%

Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

Mar 8, 2026 11.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT TQL Stadium

Samuel Gidi 63'
Ayoub Jabbari 63'
Evander 74'
Teenage Hadebe 86'
Kyle Smith 87'
Teenage Hadebe 87'
Kyle Smith 88'
Kenji Mboma Dem 90'

Derrick Etienne Jr. 65'
Deandre Kerr 73'
Lazar Stefanović 73'
Dániel Sallói 85'
Alonso Coello 90'+1'

May 15, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 2

FT BMO Field

Federico Bernardeschi 19'
Federico Bernardeschi 19'

Kevin Denkey 18'
Kevin Denkey 18'
Gilberto Flores 24'
Gilberto Flores 24'
Evander 32'
Evander 32'
Lukas Engel 90'
Lukas Engel 90'

Mar 9, 2025 12.30am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Evander 66'
Evander 66'
Kevin Denkey 73'
Kevin Denkey 73'
Yuya Kubo 87'
Yuya Kubo 87'
Alvas Powell 89'
Alvas Powell 89'

Kosi Thompson 50'
Kosi Thompson 50'

May 26, 2024 12.30am

3

4

HT : 2 0

FT BMO Field

Deybi Flores 25'
Deybi Flores 25'
Deybi Flores 33'
Deybi Flores 33'
Matty Longstaff 60'
Matty Longstaff 60'
Ian Murphy 63'
Ian Murphy 63'
Kevin Long 78'
Kevin Long 78'
Miles Robinson 83'
Lorenzo Insigne 85'
Lorenzo Insigne 85'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8'

Luca Orellano 53'
Luca Orellano 53'
Kevin Kelsy 55'
Kevin Kelsy 55'
Luca Orellano 60'
Luca Orellano 60'
Luca Orellano 79'
Luca Orellano 79'
Miles Robinson 83'
Sergio Santos 90'+3'
Sergio Santos 90'+3'
Lorenzo Insigne 90'+8'
Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'
Kevin Kelsy 90'+10'

Feb 25, 2024 7.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Nippert Stadium

Yuya Kubo 63'

Jonathan Osorio 2'
Raoul Petretta 34'
Shane O'Neill 54'
Sean Johnson 82'

Oct 1, 2023 12.30am

2

3

HT : 4 4

FT BMO Field

Jonathan Osorio 39'
Jonathan Osorio 39'
Jonathan Osorio 44'
Jonathan Osorio 44'
Themi Antonoglou 74'
Themi Antonoglou 74'
Prince Osei Owusu 84'
Prince Osei Owusu 86'

Brandon Vazquez 28'
Brandon Vazquez 28'
Brandon Vazquez 35'
Brandon Vazquez 35'
Aaron Boupendza 72'
Aaron Boupendza 72'

Form Data

Toronto 3 - 2 Colorado

Toronto 2 - 1 Columbus Crew

Toronto 1 - 1 NY Red Bulls

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto

Vancouver 3 - 0 Toronto

Dallas 3 - 2 Toronto

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Tigres 5 - 1 Cincinnati

New England 6 - 1 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 3 - 0 Tigres

Cincinnati 0 - 1 Toronto