Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2026 12.30am
Yankee Stadium

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Vancouver 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 28.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.16%).

Result

New York City FC 48.02%
Draw 23.32%
FC Cincinnati 28.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.2%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.46%
Under 1.5 16.54%
Over 2.5 63.38%
Under 2.5 36.62%
Over 3.5 41%
Under 3.5 59%
Over 4.5 25.57%
Under 4.5 74.43%

First Half Winner

New York City FC 38.94%
Draw 38.41%
FC Cincinnati 22.65%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 56.38%
No Goal 4.17%
FC Cincinnati 39.45%

Corners

Over 8 62.84%
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 26.01%
Over 9 50.99%
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 37.16%
Over 10.5 39.48%
Under 10.5 60.52%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 52.75%
Under 1.5 47.25%
Over 2.5 27.07%
Under 2.5 72.93%
Over 3.5 11.53%
Under 3.5 88.47%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 66.8%
Under 0.5 33.2%
Over 1.5 36.51%
Under 1.5 63.49%
Over 2.5 15.45%
Under 2.5 84.55%
Over 3.5 5.56%
Under 3.5 94.44%

Score analysis

New York City FC 48.01%
Draw 23.31%
FC Cincinnati 28.67%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.45%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 5.6%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 11.11%
Total : 48.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 23.31%
FC Cincinnati
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.38%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Citi Field
  • Julian Fernandez 9' goal
  • Matt Freese 39' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 72' yellowcard
  • Justin Haak 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Miazga 13'
  • yellowcard Evander 90'+2'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 9, 2024 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nippert Stadium
  • Pavel Bucha 65' yellowcard
  • Alvas Powell 85' yellowcard
  • Chidozie Awaziem 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 11'
  • yellowcard Kevin O'Toole 83'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 89'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 2, 2024 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 22' goal
  • Thiago Martins 40' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 53' yellowcard
  • James Sands 72' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Pavel Bucha 43'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 56'
  • goal Luca Orellano 65'
  • yellowcard Yuya Kubo 68'
MLS Playoffs
Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium
  • Luca Orellano 29' yellowcard
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 51' goal
  • Yamil Rodrigo Asad 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Sands 41'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 82'
  • redcard Tayvon Gray 90'+9'
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Mitja Ilencic 16' goal
  • Mitja Ilencic 16' goal
  • James Sands 41' yellowcard
  • James Sands 41' yellowcard
  • Alonso Martinez 65' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 65' goal
  • Thiago Martins 66' yellowcard
  • Thiago Martins 67' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 75' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 75' goal
  • Andres Perea 84' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 84' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tayvon Gray 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 90'+14' yellowcard
  • Hannes Wolf 90'+14' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 34'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kelsy 34'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 69'
  • goal Luciano Acosta 69'
  • goal Corey Baird 90'+6'
  • goal Corey Baird 90'+6'