Apr 23, 2026 12.30am

4

4

HT : 2 1

FT Yankee Stadium

Nicolás Fernández Mercau 20'
Nicolás Fernández Mercau 35'
Agustín Ojeda 53'
Talles Magno 72'
Keaton Parks 72'
Talles Magno 79'
Arnau Farnós 84'
Jonathan Shore 84'
Strahinja Tanasijević 90'

Alvas Powell 23'
Kévin Denkey 32'
A. Chirilă 46'
Gerardo Valenzuela 60'
Tah Anunga 60'
Tah Anunga 61'
Kévin Denkey 65'
Ayoub Jabbari 83'
Ayoub Jabbari 84'
A. Chirilă 90'+2'
Evander 90'+5'

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

L
W
L
D
L
W

Major League Soccer

L
L
D
L
W
W

Last game

Apr 19, 2026 12.30am

NY City 1 - 2 Charlotte FC

Goals scored

19

Top scorer

Nicolás Fernández Mercau

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

D
D
L
W
L
L

Major League Soccer

D
D
L
W
L
L

Last game

Apr 19, 2026 12.30am

Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire

Goals scored

19

Top scorer

Kévin Denkey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%).

Result

New York City FC 48.13% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 22.95%

FC Cincinnati 28.96%

Both Teams to Score:

63.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 16.29% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 64.01%

Under 2.5 35.99%

Over 3.5 41.4%

Under 3.5 58.6%

Over 4.5 26.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 73.98% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 38.66%

Draw 38.79%

FC Cincinnati 22.55%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 55.58%

No Goal 4.07%

FC Cincinnati 40.35%

Corners

Over 8 59.62%

Equal 8 11.37%

Under 8 29.01%

Over 9 47.86%

Equal 9 11.76%

Under 9 40.38%

Over 10.5 36.72%

Under 10.5 63.28%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 52.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 47.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 27.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 72.81% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 11.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 3.5 88.42% ▼ (-0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5 66.79% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 0.5 33.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 36.89%

Under 1.5 63.11%

Over 2.5 15.95%

Under 2.5 84.05%

Over 3.5 6%

Under 3.5 94%

Score analysis

New York City FC 48.14%

Draw 22.94%

FC Cincinnati 28.96%

New York City FC

2-1 @ 9.51%

1-0 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)

2-0 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 5.58%

3-0 @ 4.18%

3-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 11.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 48.14%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.85%

2-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 4.07%

3-3 @ 1.98%

Other @ 0.41%

Total : 22.94%

FC Cincinnati

1-2 @ 7.12%

0-1 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 3.32%

1-3 @ 3.16%

2-3 @ 3%

0-3 @ 1.81%

Other @ 5.59%

Total : 28.96%

Head to Head

Aug 24, 2025 12.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

May 4, 2025 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Citi Field

Julian Fernandez 9'
Matt Freese 39'
Hannes Wolf 72'
Justin Haak 75'

Matt Miazga 13'
Evander 90'+2'

Nov 9, 2024 9.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Nippert Stadium

Pavel Bucha 65'
Alvas Powell 85'
Chidozie Awaziem 90'

Keaton Parks 11'
Kevin O'Toole 83'
Santiago Rodriguez 89'

Nov 2, 2024 9.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT Citi Field

Alonso Martinez 22'
Thiago Martins 40'
Santiago Rodriguez 53'
James Sands 72'
Santiago Rodriguez 90'+7'

Pavel Bucha 43'
DeAndre Yedlin 56'
Luca Orellano 65'
Yuya Kubo 68'

Oct 28, 2024 10.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Luca Orellano 29'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 51'
Yamil Rodrigo Asad 89'

James Sands 41'
Maximiliano Moralez 82'
Tayvon Gray 90'+9'

Oct 3, 2024 12.30am

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT Red Bull Arena

Mitja Ilencic 16'
Mitja Ilencic 16'
James Sands 41'
James Sands 41'
Alonso Martinez 65'
Alonso Martinez 65'
Thiago Martins 66'
Thiago Martins 67'
Santiago Rodriguez 75'
Santiago Rodriguez 75'
Andres Perea 84'
Andres Perea 84'
Tayvon Gray 90'+1'
Tayvon Gray 90'+1'
Tayvon Gray 90'+2'
Hannes Wolf 90'+14'
Hannes Wolf 90'+14'

Kevin Kelsy 34'
Kevin Kelsy 34'
Luciano Acosta 69'
Luciano Acosta 69'
Corey Baird 90'+6'
Corey Baird 90'+6'

Form Data

NY City 1 - 2 Charlotte FC

Westchester SC 2 - 5 NY City

Vancouver 2 - 0 NY City

NY City 1 - 1 St Louis City

NY City 2 - 3 Inter Miami

NY City 3 - 1 Colorado

Cincinnati 3 - 3 Chicago Fire

Toronto 1 - 1 Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls 4 - 2 Cincinnati

Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal

Tigres 5 - 1 Cincinnati

New England 6 - 1 Cincinnati