Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw has a probability of 21.15% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a St Louis City win it is 1-2 (4.78%).