Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
  • Hannes Wolf 50' goal
  • Raul Gustavo 75' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Shore 75' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 87' yellowcard
  • Nico Cavallo 88' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Perez 65'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teuchert 71'
  • yellowcard Lukas MacNaughton 71'
  • yellowcard MyKhi Joyner 79'
  • yellowcard Brendan McSorley 80'
  • yellowcard MyKhi Joyner 80'
  • goal Brendan McSorley 90'+5'

New York City FC vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
NY City 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 New England
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 21.11% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%) , while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 60.77% (+0.04)
Draw 21.11%
St Louis City 18.12% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.62% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 19.42% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 59.16% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 40.84% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 37.04% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 62.96% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.4% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 76.6% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 45.76%
Draw 36.29%
St Louis City 17.95%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 63.63% (-0.01)
No Goal 4.87% (+0.03)
St Louis City 31.5% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.38%
Equal 8 10.72%
Under 8 26.9%
Over 9 51.07%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 37.62%
Over 10.5 40.09%
Under 10.5 59.91%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 59.33% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 40.67% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 32.66% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 67.34% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 14.98% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 85.02% (+0.04)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 54.78% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 45.22% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 23.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 76.4% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 7.63% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 92.37% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.09% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.91% (+0.01)

Score analysis

New York City FC 60.77%
Draw 21.11%
St Louis City 18.12%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 10.16%
1-0 @ 9.85% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.48% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.7%
3-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 14.78% (-0.05)
Total : 60.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.11%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.7% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.89% (-0.02)
Total : 18.12%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT CityPark
  • Anthony Markanich 21' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 21' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 34' goal
  • Celio Pompeu 34' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Chris Durkin 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 82' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 28'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 28'
  • yellowcard James Sands 51'
  • yellowcard James Sands 51'
  • redcard James Sands 82'
  • redcard James Sands 82'
  • yellowcard Mitja Ilencic 88'
  • yellowcard Mitja Ilencic 88'