Major League Soccer
Apr 5, 2026 12.30am
Citi Field

New York City FC vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 5.00pm
NY City 2 - 3 Inter Miami
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 12.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 New England
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw has a probability of 21.15% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.66%) , while for a St Louis City win it is 1-2 (4.78%).

Result

New York City FC 60.95% (+0.02)
Draw 21.15% (+0.01)
St Louis City 17.86% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.48% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 19.52% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 58.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.06% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.81% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.19% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.21% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 76.79% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 44.47% (-0.03)
Draw 36.85% (-0.06)
St Louis City 18.68% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 63.13%
No Goal 4.89%
St Louis City 31.98%

Corners

Over 8 63.36% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.54%
Under 8 26.1% (+0.06)
Over 9 52.14% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.22%
Under 9 36.64% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.16% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 58.84% (+0.05)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 59.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 40.65% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 32.75% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 14.79% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 85.21% (+0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 54.55% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 45.45% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.4% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.6% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.52%
Under 2.5 92.48%
Over 3.5 2.11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 60.95%
Draw 21.15%
St Louis City 17.86%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 10.12%
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 14.57% (-0.02)
Total : 60.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 21.15%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT CityPark
  • Anthony Markanich 21' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 21' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 34' goal
  • Celio Pompeu 34' goal
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 41' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Tomas Totland 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Chris Durkin 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 82' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 28'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 28'
  • yellowcard James Sands 51'
  • yellowcard James Sands 51'
  • redcard James Sands 82'
  • redcard James Sands 82'
  • yellowcard Mitja Ilencic 88'
  • yellowcard Mitja Ilencic 88'