Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2026 2.15am
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 5 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Christopher McVey

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
St Louis City 1 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Diego win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw has a probability of 19.08% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 14.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a St Louis City win it is 0-1 (3.99%).

Result

San Diego 66.82% (-0.13)
Draw 19.08% (+0.09)
St Louis City 14.1% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.22% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.24% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 18.76% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 60.93% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 39.07% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 39.51% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 60.49% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 26.5% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 73.5% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

San Diego 49.74% (-0.13)
Draw 34.76% (+0.01)
St Louis City 15.51% (+0.13)

Team To Score First

San Diego 70.68% (-0.08)
No Goal 4.82% (+0.04)
St Louis City 24.5% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 58.28% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.54% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.18% (+0.01)
Over 9 47.49% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.79% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.72% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 37.28% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 62.72% (+0.04)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 63.89% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 36.11% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 38.46% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 61.54% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 19.72% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 80.28% (+0.24)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 48.34% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 51.66% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 19.15% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.85% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 5.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 94.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.46%
Under 3.5 98.54%

Score analysis

San Diego 66.81%
Draw 19.08%
St Louis City 14.1%
San Diego
1-0 @ 9.94% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.44% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.09%
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 19.53% (-0.24)
Total : 66.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.82% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.08%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 3.99% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.81% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.1%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Tomas Ostrak 59' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 59' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hiebert 90'+1' goal
  • Kyle Hiebert 90'+1' goal
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 38'
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 38'
  • goal Milan Iloski 79'
  • goal Milan Iloski 79'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 87'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 87'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Franco Negri 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 37' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 68' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 68' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 39'
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 39'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 44'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 44'
  • yellowcard Conrad Wallem 73'
  • yellowcard Conrad Wallem 73'
  • yellowcard Chris Durkin 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Durkin 76'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 87'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 87'