Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.99% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%) , while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.