Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2026 2.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Anders Dreyer 3' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 54' goal
  • Pedro Soma 64' yellowcard
  • Bryce Duke 79' yellowcard
  • Alex Mighten 79' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 89' yellowcard
  • Bryan Zamblé 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 46'
  • yellowcard Célio Pompeu 58'
  • yellowcard Brendan McSorley 58'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teuchert 64'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teuchert 65'
  • yellowcard Lukas MacNaughton 72'

San Diego vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 3.30am
San Diego 5 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 7.30pm
St Louis City 1 - 1 Charlotte FC
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.99% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%) , while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 67.05% (+0.24)
Draw 18.99% (-0.09)
St Louis City 13.97% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.16% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.44% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 18.56% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 61.11% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 38.89% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 39.66% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 60.34% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 26.74% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 73.26% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

San Diego 49.74%
Draw 34.76%
St Louis City 15.5% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

San Diego 70.79% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.73% (-0.09)
St Louis City 24.48% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58% (-0.29)
Equal 8 10.61% (+0.08)
Under 8 31.4% (+0.22)
Over 9 47.16% (-0.34)
Equal 9 10.83% (+0.05)
Under 9 42% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 36.94% (-0.35)
Under 10.5 63.06% (+0.35)

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 64.2% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 35.8% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 38.68% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 61.32% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 19.95% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 80.05% (-0.24)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 48.19% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 51.81% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 19.1% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 80.9% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 5.53% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.47% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.45% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.55% (+0.01)

Score analysis

San Diego 67.04%
Draw 18.99%
St Louis City 13.97%
San Diego
2-0 @ 9.99% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 19.75% (+0.22)
Total : 67.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 18.99%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.3%
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Total : 13.97%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Tomas Ostrak 59' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 59' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hiebert 90'+1' goal
  • Kyle Hiebert 90'+1' goal
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 38'
  • yellowcard Onni Valakari 38'
  • goal Milan Iloski 79'
  • goal Milan Iloski 79'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 87'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 87'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Oscar Verhoeven 90'+6'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Franco Negri 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 37' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 68' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 68' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 39'
  • yellowcard Eduard Lowen 39'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 44'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 44'
  • yellowcard Conrad Wallem 73'
  • yellowcard Conrad Wallem 73'
  • yellowcard Chris Durkin 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Durkin 76'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 87'
  • yellowcard Kyle Hiebert 87'