Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.