Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.47% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%) , while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.