Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.