Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.42% and a win for Alajuelense had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Alajuelense win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.