Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Citi Field
  • Talles Magno 67' yellowcard
  • Keaton Parks 77' yellowcard
  • Seymour Reid 86' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Fernández Mercau 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Privett 46'
  • goal Idan Toklomati 54'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 69'
  • yellowcard Archie Goodwin 77'
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 77'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 90'
  • yellowcard Djibril Diani 90'+3'

New York City FC vs Charlotte FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Vancouver 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 1 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pep Biel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.06% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.01%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Charlotte FC win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 52.29%
Draw 24.06%
Charlotte FC 23.62% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.7% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.59% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 52.93% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 47.07% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.38% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.62% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 17.58% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 82.42% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 41.56%
Draw 39.83%
Charlotte FC 18.61%

Team To Score First

New York City FC 59.88%
No Goal 6.42% (+0.01)
Charlotte FC 33.7% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.66%
Equal 8 11.87%
Under 8 27.47%
Over 9 48.23%
Equal 9 12.43%
Under 9 39.34%
Over 10.5 36.41%
Under 10.5 63.59%

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 49.94% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.06% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.06% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.69% (+0.04)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.87% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.13% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.53% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.47% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.69% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 52.28%
Draw 24.05%
Charlotte FC 23.63%
New York City FC
1-0 @ 10.55% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.91% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.21% (-0.03)
Total : 52.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.05%
Charlotte FC
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Total : 23.63%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 8, 2025 12.10am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 28, 2025 10.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 20, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 28, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Keaton Parks 41' goal
  • Keaton Parks 41' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+3' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 90'+3' goal
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 3'
  • goal Kerwin Vargas 3'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 21'
  • yellowcard Junior Urso 21'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 50'
  • yellowcard Kerwin Vargas 50'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 53'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 53'