Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.