Major League Soccer
Mar 14, 2026 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Tomás Jacob 47' goal
  • Aleksey Miranchuk 68' goal
  • Fafà Picault 69' yellowcard
  • Steven Alzate 69' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobjanidze 78' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 87' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amador 87' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amador 88' yellowcard
  • Matthew Edwards 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Milan Iloski 43'
  • yellowcard Agustín Anello 57'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya  57'
  • yellowcard Ezekiel Alladoh 57'
  • yellowcard Japhet Sery Larsen 77'
  • yellowcard Jesús Bueno 81'
  • goal Agustín Anello 87'

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 3 Salt Lake
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Agustín Anello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 39.09% (-0.12)
Draw 25%
Philadelphia Union 35.88% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.45% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.36% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 20.64% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 57.23% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 42.77% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 34.64% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 65.36% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 20.15% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 79.85% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 31.27%
Draw 38.33%
Philadelphia Union 30.4%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 47.08% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.49%
Philadelphia Union 47.43% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.02)
Under 8 28.75% (-0.11)
Over 9 48.33% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.67% (+0.03)
Under 9 40% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 37.23% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.77% (-0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 42.41% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 57.59% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 18.82% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 81.18% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 6.81% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.19% (+0.08)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.35% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.65% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 60.16% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.07%
Under 2.5 82.93%
Over 3.5 6.11% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 39.07%
Draw 24.99%
Philadelphia Union 35.88%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.52% (-0.08)
Total : 39.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 24.99%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 8.23% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.8%
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.82% (+0.03)
Total : 35.88%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jakob Glesnes 19' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 27' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 50' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 56' redcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 57' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 70'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
  • 19' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 25' yellowcard
  • Daniel Rios 55' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 63' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 35'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 35'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 73'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 75'
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 7' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 79' goal