Major League Soccer
Mar 14, 2026 7.00pm
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 2 - 3 Salt Lake
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
1

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Philadelphia Union has a probability of 36.07% and a draw has a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win is 1-2 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.2%).

Result

Atlanta United 38.95%
Draw 24.97%
Philadelphia Union 36.07%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.7%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.53%
Under 1.5 20.47%
Over 2.5 57.47%
Under 2.5 42.53%
Over 3.5 34.92%
Under 3.5 65.08%
Over 4.5 20.33%
Under 4.5 79.67%

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 31.29%
Draw 38.31%
Philadelphia Union 30.39%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 47.27%
No Goal 5.46%
Philadelphia Union 47.27%

Corners

Over 8 60.02%
Equal 8 11.2%
Under 8 28.78%
Over 9 48.4%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 39.98%
Over 10.5 37.35%
Under 10.5 62.65%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 42.46%
Under 1.5 57.54%
Over 2.5 18.85%
Under 2.5 81.15%
Over 3.5 6.85%
Under 3.5 93.15%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.52%
Under 0.5 28.48%
Over 1.5 40.16%
Under 1.5 59.84%
Over 2.5 17.27%
Under 2.5 82.73%
Over 3.5 6.2%
Under 3.5 93.8%

Score analysis

Atlanta United 38.95%
Draw 24.96%
Philadelphia Union 36.08%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 3.02%
Other @ 6.55%
Total : 38.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.96%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 5.9%
Total : 36.08%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Luis Abram 57' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 21'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • yellowcard Bruno Damiani 49'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • goal Tai Baribo 59'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 89'
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jakob Glesnes 19' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 27' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 50' goal
  • Jovan Lukic 56' redcard
  • Danley Jean Jacques 57' yellowcard
  • Tai Baribo 84' goal
  • yellowcard Pedro Amador 68'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 70'
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Subaru Park
  • 19' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 61' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 68' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 69' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • yellowcard Brooks Lennon 52'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
  • goal Saba Lobzhanidze 72'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 25' yellowcard
  • Daniel Rios 55' goal
  • Caleb Wiley 63' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 21'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 35'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 35'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 73'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 75'
  • goal Kai Wagner 77'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
3
2
HT : 6 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 41' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Julian Carranza 45'+3' goal
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Quinn Sullivan 66' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 81' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • goal Thiago Almada 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • yellowcard Jamal Thiare 75'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
  • goal Edwin Mosquera 77'
Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 7' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 79' goal