Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.