Major League Soccer
Mar 21, 2026 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Subaru Park
  • Jovan Lukić 46' yellowcard
  • Milan Iloski 45'+7' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya  62' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 62' yellowcard
  • Malik Jakupovic 62' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Rafanello 66' yellowcard
  • Ben Bender 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maren Haile-Selassie 31'
  • yellowcard Viktor Radojević 46'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 45'+3'
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 58'
  • yellowcard Jason Shokalook 89'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Dean 89'

Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 7.15pm
Atlanta 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Agustín Anello

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 2 DC United
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 45.54%
Draw 24.02%
Chicago Fire 30.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.59% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.51% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.49% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.08% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 67.92% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.75% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 81.25% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Philadelphia Union 37.68%
Draw 39.02%
Chicago Fire 23.3%

Team To Score First

Philadelphia Union 56.61%
No Goal 6.06% (-0.02)
Chicago Fire 37.33% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.44% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 29.05% (+0.02)
Over 9 47.54% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 40.56% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 36.29% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.71% (+0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 1.5 45.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 54.69% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.51% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.28% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.72% (-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 34.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.98% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 45.54%
Draw 24.02%
Chicago Fire 30.44%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.07% (+0.01)
Total : 45.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.02%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.07% (+0.02)
Total : 30.44%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nov 1, 2025 9.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 26, 2025 9.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 12.30am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
4
3
HT : 2 4
FT Soldier Field
  • Wyatt Omsberg 4' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 4' yellowcard
  • Frank Klopas 5' redcard
  • Frank Klopas 5' redcard
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 30' goal
  • Maren Haile-Selassie 30' goal
  • Chris Brady 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Chris Brady 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Hugo Cuypers 82' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 82' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 89' goal
  • Gaston Gimenez 89' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+2' goal
  • Hugo Cuypers 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 32'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 32'
  • goal Chris Donovan 38'
  • goal Chris Donovan 38'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 49'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 49'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 45'+7'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 54'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 54'