Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.02% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.97%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.